Raposo vs. Degli
Sat, Nov 7 · 7:15 PM EST · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States
Raposo takes on Degli at Meta APEX on Sat, Nov 7. Degli is favored on the moneyline. Raposo is 2-3 over their last 5; Degli is 1-0 over their last 1. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.
Raposo
11-3-0 · W2
+185
Degli
15-3-0 · W1
-225
Raposo
Recent form
Degli
Recent form
Betting Lines
| Sportsbook | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | MR +185MD -225 |
AI Matchup Analysis
AI-generatedMarcos Degli is the betting favorite at -225, an implied win probability of roughly 69%, and the 15-3 record plus a second-round submission of Paris Moran gives that price some surface support. The problem is sample size: Degli's provided form consists of exactly one result, so there's very little recent evidence to confirm he belongs that far ahead of a UFC-tested opponent. Raposo, 11-3, arrives on a two-fight win streak, having taken decisions over Allan Nascimento and Azat Maksum, and all three of his losses are documented — two by decision, one submission — suggesting a durable, competitive fighter rather than a stepping stone. At +185, Raposo's pricing looks generous relative to the only form data either side has shown in volume, and the underdog reads as live here.
AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.
Where to Watch
Streaming
- Paramount+