Smith vs. Grant
Sat, Nov 7 · 9:45 PM EST · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States
Smith takes on Grant at Meta APEX on Sat, Nov 7. Smith is favored on the moneyline. Smith is 4-0 over their last 4; Grant is 3-2 over their last 5. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.
“Swift”
Smith
10-1-0 · W4
-310
“Dangerous”
Grant
18-8-0 · W1
+250
Smith
Recent form
Grant
Recent form
Betting Lines
| Sportsbook | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | ES -310DG +250 |
| FanDuel | ES -330DG +240 |
AI Matchup Analysis
AI-generatedElijah Smith is the favorite here, priced around -310 to -330 for an implied win probability near 76-77%, and the form file largely supports that number. He's 10-1 and riding a four-fight win streak that has gained momentum rather than stalled: decisions over Aaron Tau and Vince Morales, then a first-round KO/TKO of Toshiomi Kazama and a second-round submission of SuYoung You, meaning his two most recent wins both ended early. Davey Grant, 18-8, has gone 3-1 across his last four with all three wins arriving by decision and the loss a first-round submission to Charles Jourdain. That finishing-rate gap is the crux — Grant's +240/+250 looks fair rather than mispriced, and the value case leans toward Smith inside the distance rather than the straight moneyline.
AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.
Where to Watch
Streaming
- Paramount+