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Yan vs. Dvalishvili

Sat, Oct 24 · 3:45 PM EDT

Yan takes on Dvalishvili on Sat, Oct 24. Yan is favored on the moneyline. Yan is 4-1 over their last 5; Dvalishvili is 4-1 over their last 5. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.

Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili
VS

No Mercy

Yan

20-5-0 · W4

-172

The Machine

Dvalishvili

21-5-0 · L1

+140

Yan

Recent form

WWWWL
(4-1)

Dvalishvili

Recent form

LWWWW
(4-1)

Betting Lines

SportsbookMoneyline
FanDuel
PY -172MD +140

AI Matchup Analysis

AI-generated

Petr Yan is the favorite at -172, an implied win probability of roughly 63%, and the pricing largely reflects what happened on December 6, when he took a five-round decision from Dvalishvili to claim the belt. Yan arrives on a W4 run at 20-5, with all four wins by decision — over Dvalishvili, Marcus McGhee, Deiveson Figueiredo and Song Yadong — so he's proven he can bank rounds against elite competition rather than needing a finish. Dvalishvili, 21-5, enters on his first loss in a long stretch, but the body of work before it was excellent: decisions over Cory Sandhagen and Umar Nurmagomedov plus a third-round submission of Sean O'Malley. Given how close the first meeting was — a full 25 minutes with no finish — +140 on a fighter with that resume looks like reasonable value, and the underdog reads as live rather than outclassed.

AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to Watch

Streaming

  • Paramount+

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