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Lisboa vs. Szabova

Sat, Oct 31 · 5:00 PM EDT · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States

Lisboa takes on Szabova at Meta APEX on Sat, Oct 31. Szabova is favored on the moneyline. Lisboa is 2-2 over their last 4. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.

Tainara Lisboa
Lucia Szabova
Women's Flyweight
VS

“Thai Panther”

Lisboa

7-4-0 · L2

+440

Szabova

12-0-0

-600

Lisboa

Recent form

LLWW
(2-2)

Szabova

Recent form

—

Betting Lines

SportsbookMoneyline
DraftKings
TL +440LS -600
FanDuel
TL +400LS -620

AI Matchup Analysis

AI-generated

Lucia Szabova is the favorite here, priced at -600 on DraftKings and -620 at FanDuel for an implied win probability around 86%, and the surface-level case for that number is easy to see: she arrives unbeaten at 12-0 against a Tainara Lisboa who sits at 7-4 and has dropped two in a row. Lisboa's recent form is the clearest mark against her — a submission loss to Luana Santos in round two in May 2025, then a round-three KO/TKO defeat to Melissa Croden in October, meaning she has been finished in consecutive outings. Her last wins, a submission of Jessica-Rose Clark and a decision over Ravena Oliveira, both came back in 2023, so she has gone two years without a victory. The caveat is that no recent-fight detail is provided for Szabova, so the quality and timing behind that 12-0 is an unknown sample here. The data supports the favorite's side, but at a price demanding roughly 86% certainty, the margin for value looks thin, and a live underdog case rests mainly on Lisboa's proven finishing ability rather than anything in her current run.

AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to Watch

Streaming

  • Paramount+

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