Bonfim vs. Prado
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:45 PM EDT · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States
Bonfim takes on Prado at Meta APEX on Sat, Oct 10. Bonfim is favored on the moneyline. Bonfim is 1-4 over their last 5; Prado is 1-4 over their last 5. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.
“Marreta”
Bonfim
20-7-0 · L3
-130
Prado
12-5-0 · L4
+110
Bonfim
Recent form
Prado
Recent form
Betting Lines
| Sportsbook | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | IB -130FP +110 |
| FanDuel | IB -128FP +100 |
AI Matchup Analysis
AI-generatedIsmael Bonfim is the nominal favorite at -130 on DraftKings (roughly 57% implied) and -128 at FanDuel, though FanDuel's pick'em +100 on Francisco Prado tells you how little separation the market sees. The evidence doesn't flatter either man: Bonfim is 20-7 but on an L3, and all three losses came by finish — submission to Axel Sola in round one, TKO to Chris Padilla in round two, TKO to Nazim Sadykhov in round one — with his lone recent win a decision over Vinc Pichel in May 2024. Prado, 12-5, has dropped four straight, but every one went the distance (Radtke, Veretennikov, Matthews, Zellhuber), suggesting durability Bonfim hasn't shown lately. That contrast — a fader who gets finished versus one who survives to the cards — makes the near-even price on Prado the more defensible side.
AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.
Where to Watch
Streaming
- Paramount+