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Gatto vs. Kareckaite

Sat, Oct 10 · 5:15 PM EDT · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States

Gatto takes on Kareckaite at Meta APEX on Sat, Oct 10. Gatto is favored on the moneyline. Gatto is 2-3 over their last 5; Kareckaite is 1-2 over their last 3. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.

Melissa Gatto
Ernesta Kareckaite
Women's Flyweight
VS

Gatto

9-3-2 · L1

-162

“Heavy-Handed”

Kareckaite

6-2-1 · L1

+136

Gatto

Recent form

LWLLW
(2-3)

Kareckaite

Recent form

LWL
(1-2)

Betting Lines

SportsbookMoneyline
DraftKings
MG -162EK +136
FanDuel
MG -174EK +136

AI Matchup Analysis

AI-generated

Melissa Gatto is the favorite here, priced -162 to -174 across DraftKings and FanDuel for an implied win probability of roughly 62-64%. The résumé edge is real: Gatto carries a 9-3-2 mark against Ernesta Kareckaite's 6-2-1, and her two wins in this sample were finishes — third-round KO/TKOs over Tamires Vidal and Sijara Eubanks — while Kareckaite's lone listed victory, over Nicolle Caliari, went to a decision. Both arrive off losses, each dropping a three-round decision, and notably both have lost to Dione Barbosa, a shared result that narrows the gap the price implies. Gatto's three losses all came by decision, suggesting she's durable but beatable over 15 minutes, and with Kareckaite's sample limited to three listed bouts, the +136 underdog looks closer to live than the number suggests.

AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to Watch

Streaming

  • Paramount+

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