Lopes vs. Oliveira
Sat, Dec 12 · 11:00 PM EST · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States
Lopes takes on Oliveira at T-Mobile Arena on Sat, Dec 12. Oliveira is favored on the moneyline. Lopes is 4-1 over their last 5; Oliveira is 3-2 over their last 5. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.
Lopes
28-8-0 · W1
+124
“Do Bronxs”
Oliveira
37-11-0 · W2
-148
Lopes
Recent form
Oliveira
Recent form
Betting Lines
| Sportsbook | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | DL +124CO -148 |
| FanDuel | DL +126CO -162 |
AI Matchup Analysis
AI-generatedCharles Oliveira is the favorite here, priced around -148 to -162 for an implied win probability near 60-62%, and his recent ledger largely supports the number: he's 4-1 in his last five with a W2 run, submitting Mateusz Gamrot in the second and taking five-round decisions over Max Holloway and Michael Chandler. Lopes counters with a 28-8 mark and real finishing pop, having stopped Steve Garcia and Jean Silva both in the second round, though his only recent setback was a five-round decision loss to Alexander Volkanovski. The contrast is durability and championship-round experience against Lopes's early-round violence — Oliveira's blemish was a first-round KO/TKO by Ilia Topuria. With Lopes near +124 and roughly 45%, the underdog price looks closer to a coin flip than the market suggests, making the value tilt toward Lopes.
AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.
Where to Watch
Streaming
- Paramount+