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Franco vs. Ribeiro

Sat, Oct 10 · 6:45 PM EDT · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States

Franco takes on Ribeiro at Meta APEX on Sat, Oct 10. Franco is favored on the moneyline. Franco is 1-1 over their last 2; Ribeiro is 1-4 over their last 5. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.

Felipe Franco
Brendson Ribeiro
Light Heavyweight
VS

“Negão”

Franco

11-2-0 · W1

-310

“The Gorilla”

Ribeiro

17-11-0 · L4

+250

Franco

Recent form

WL
(1-1)

Ribeiro

Recent form

LLLLW
(1-4)

Betting Lines

SportsbookMoneyline
DraftKings
FF -310BR +250
FanDuel
FF -340BR +250

AI Matchup Analysis

AI-generated

Felipe Franco is the favorite here, priced around -310 to -340 for an implied win probability near 76-77%, and the evidence largely supports that number. Franco carries an 11-2 record and just bounced back from a March 2026 decision loss to Mario Pinto by stopping Levi Rodrigues Jr. via second-round TKO. Brendson Ribeiro, by contrast, is 17-11 and mired in a four-fight losing skid, three of those defeats coming inside the distance — a first-round submission to Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev and first-round KO/TKO losses to Oumar Sy and Azamat Murzakanov. His most recent outing at least went the full three rounds against Magomed Tuchalov, hinting at some durability. With Ribeiro's last win dating to March 2025, the +250 looks less like a live dog than a reflection of genuine decline, and the favorite's price appears fairly earned rather than inflated.

AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to Watch

Streaming

  • Paramount+

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