III vs. Fili
Sat, Oct 10 · 9:15 PM EDT · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States
III takes on Fili at Meta APEX on Sat, Oct 10. Fili is favored on the moneyline. III is 1-4 over their last 5; Fili is 2-3 over their last 5. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.
“Da Fighting Hawaiian”
III
18-8-1 · L1
+130
“Touchy”
Fili
25-14-0 (1 NC) · L2
-155
III
Recent form
Fili
Recent form
Betting Lines
| Sportsbook | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | KI +130AF -155 |
| FanDuel | KI +128AF -164 |
AI Matchup Analysis
AI-generatedAndre Fili is the favorite here, priced around -155 to -164 for an implied win probability near 61-62%, and that number deserves scrutiny given his current trajectory. He's lost two straight — a decision to Jose Miguel Delgado in March 2026 and a KO/TKO at the hands of Vinicius Oliveira in June — and three of his last five overall, including a first-round submission loss to Melquizael Costa. Kamaka arrives off his own setback, a first-round KO/TKO against Luke Riley, though he'd taken a decision over Dakota Hope in April; his prior UFC sample is thin and dated, stretching back to 2021. At 18-8-1 versus Fili's 25-14 with an NC, the experience edge is real but the recent form gap is not. With both men absorbing recent knockouts, the live underdog price near +130 looks closer to a coin flip than the market suggests.
AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.
Where to Watch
Streaming
- Paramount+