DigitalSportsCave
UFCSCHEDULED

Pavlovich vs. Pereira

Sat, Dec 12 · 10:30 PM EST · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Pavlovich takes on Pereira at T-Mobile Arena on Sat, Dec 12. Pavlovich is favored on the moneyline. Pavlovich is 3-2 over their last 5; Pereira is 4-1 over their last 5. Full card odds, where to watch, and our AI breakdown below.

Sergei Pavlovich
Alex Pereira
Heavyweight
VS

Pavlovich

21-3-0 · W3

-218

“Poatan”

Pereira

13-4-0 · L1

+180

Pavlovich

Recent form

WWWLL
(3-2)

Pereira

Recent form

LWWWW
(4-1)

Betting Lines

SportsbookMoneyline
DraftKings
SP -218AP +180
FanDuel
SP -205AP +158

AI Matchup Analysis

AI-generated

Pavlovich is the favorite at -218 on DraftKings (~69% implied) and -205 at FanDuel (~67%), and the recent ledger largely supports that price: he's 21-3 and riding a three-fight win streak, most recently a first-round KO/TKO of Tallison Teixeira in May 2026, with decision wins over Waldo Cortes Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik showing he can also bank rounds. Pereira, 13-4, enters off a second-round KO/TKO loss to Ciryl Gane, snapping a run of four straight finishes — Ankalaev in one, Rountree in four, Prochazka in two, Hill in one. That's the key contrast: Pereira's four most recent wins all ended early, so the +158 to +180 range reflects a live finisher rather than an overmatched dog. The value case leans toward Pereira's price if you believe his power travels; the straight pick leans Pavlovich.

AI-generated analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only, may contain inaccuracies, and is not betting or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly.

Where to Watch

Streaming

  • Paramount+

More UFC matchups

All UFC games →