Nuggets @ Pelicans

Denver is the favorite here, priced at -185 on DraftKings (roughly 65% implied) and a touch heavier at -190 on FanDuel (about 66%), with New Orleans sitting at +154/+158 for an implied mark near 39%. The first thing worth flagging is that those two numbers add to more than 100% — that overround is the house edge baked into the market, so the Nuggets' true win expectation is realistically a few points below the 65-66% headline figure. Beyond the prices themselves, there's no recent-form data, record, or streak information supplied for either side, so this is a thin sample to lean on in either direction. The market's alignment across both books — identical totals at 240.5 and a moneyline gap of just five cents — suggests little disagreement among oddsmakers about the shape of this game. With New Orleans at home and the dog price in the +150s, the underdog return is the side that offers the most cushion relative to a modest implied probability, but without form evidence to confirm it, the honest read is that the available data doesn't clearly support either number.

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